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Runway Calculator
Assignment
- Compute monthly burn rate from last three months of statements (real averages).
- Total reserves (cash, after-tax severance, vacation payout, unemployment × eligible months, partner contribution).
- Calculate runway = reserves ÷ burn rate (months).
Transcript
OK, I've got one question for you today, and I want a number. How many months can you sustain your job search at your current spending level? Not "a few months," not "I should be fine for a while" — an actual number. Can you say it right now? Because if you can't, then every career decision you're making is coming from anxiety instead of strategy, and we're going to fix that in the next thirty minutes.
Here's the pattern I've watched play out over and over. Somebody gets laid off, and even with real savings in the bank, the panic moves in — every week feels like an emergency, and every mediocre offer starts looking like a lifeline. So they grab one, a survival job with a toxic culture or a pay cut, just to stop the bleeding. And twelve to eighteen months later they're back on the market, usually in a weaker position than when they started. Panic is expensive. It's the most expensive thing in your whole search.
Now, here's a distinction I need you to hold onto, because it changes everything. A financial crisis means you genuinely can't pay next month's bills — that's a real emergency, and it needs immediate action. But financial panic? That's just an emotional response to uncertainty, the knot in your stomach when you check your balance without a plan. And here's the thing about that knot. The cure isn't more money. It's more information. So today we do the most powerful boring exercise in this whole course — the Runway Calculator.
Three steps, and you'll want your last three months of bank statements open.
Step one, your monthly burn rate. Every dollar leaving your accounts — housing, utilities, groceries, takeout, the car, health insurance, debt payments, childcare, all those subscriptions you forgot about. And listen, I want you to use real three-month averages, not guesses, because your memory of your spending is a fiction and your statements are the truth.
Step two, your reserves. Cash in checking and savings, severance after taxes, any vacation payout, unemployment benefits times the months you're eligible, and whatever a partner contributes to the bills.
Step three, the math. Reserves divided by burn rate equals your runway, in months. That's it. That one number is the difference between guessing and knowing.
But we're not done, because you can stretch that number. When you enter what I call search mode — pausing retirement contributions, cutting the dining out, dropping the memberships you never use — most people find an extra two to four months hiding in their own spending, so that you can hold out for a premium offer instead of a panic offer. And then there's my favorite number of all, your Minimum Viable Income. That's the monthly amount that stops your savings from shrinking, and I call it your power number, because the moment some bridge income covers it, your runway becomes indefinite. Do you hear what that means? You can say no. To the wrong role, to the lowball offer, to the recruiter pushing you to decide by Friday — no.
Quick word on bridge income, because it is not a sign of failure, it's fuel. Consulting in your own field, teaching what you know, even short-term contract work — all fair game, with one test. A good bridge leaves you twenty-plus hours a week to run your search, pays you inside a month, and keeps you connected to your industry. If it eats forty hours and drains you dry, that's not a bridge, that's a detour.
Now let me tell you about a client of mine, a senior finance guy in his late forties, laid off, and doing the three a.m. math of panic. When he came to me he said, Cat, I've got maybe three months before I have to sell the house. And I said, is that a number or a feeling? Silence. So we sat down with the calculator, and forty five minutes later — with his severance counted and three luxury subscriptions cut — his real runway was fourteen months. Fourteen, not three. And I watched that one number change how he walked into every interview after that, because he stopped smelling like desperation and started radiating calm. He held out, said no twice, and landed the senior role he actually wanted.
Here's the honest part. Some of you are going to run this math and the number will be tighter than his, and that's exactly why you need it — because a tight runway with a plan beats a mystery runway every single time. Your AI assistant can help you model scenarios, find spending cuts, and research consulting rates, but keep your account numbers out of it, and remember the final call is always yours. You're the pilot here. A pilot doesn't panic at the fuel gauge — she reads it, and then she flies the plan.
So tonight, statements open, calculator out, three steps. Burn rate, reserves, runway.
Go do your math.